Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names
Bull Call Spread76 trades pass on AA
- Return on risk
- 100.0% to 638.6%
- Probability of profit
- 28.0% to 59.5%
Alcoa Corp · Materials
As of the close on . In the app, stock prices are live and options data is refreshed intraday.
AA closed at $39.93 on Oct 27, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 45.4%. That is near the bottom of its one-year range (IV rank 9), so options on AA are cheap compared with its own recent history. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 4% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Nov 27 (31 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $5.29, or 13.2%.
The price is below both its 50-day (-12.3%) and 200-day (-30.0%) moving averages. It is 52.3% below its 52-week high and 13.2% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 39.7 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $1.56, about 3.9% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (13.9K contracts) was 1.0x its average, close to normal. A beta of 1.60 means AA has tended to move about 1.6 times as much as the broad market. 4 of our preset screens found trades on AA at the close, led by Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names with 76 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 20263 days | 46.7% | ±$1.69 (4.2%) | $38.24 to $41.62 | $1.35 |
| Nov 27, 202631 days | 45.5% | ±$5.29 (13.2%) | $34.64 to $45.22 | $4.21 |
| Dec 18, 202652 days | 45.3% | ±$6.82 (17.1%) | $33.11 to $46.75 | $5.43 |
| Jan 15, 202780 days | 44.8% | ±$8.38 (21.0%) | $31.55 to $48.31 | $6.65 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for AA from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
76 trades pass on AA
70 trades pass on AA
19 trades pass on AA
8 trades pass on AA
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.