Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names
Bull Call Spread40 trades pass on ASTS
- Return on risk
- 101.3% to 657.6%
- Probability of profit
- 27.1% to 49.2%
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. · Communication
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ASTS last closed at $32.60 with 30-day implied volatility of 98.9%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 48), so premiums are on the modest side for ASTS. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 31% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Dec 11 (28 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $9.00, or 27.6%.
The price is below both its 50-day (-34.5%) and 200-day (-56.1%) moving averages. It is 75.5% below its 52-week high and 7.9% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 36.8 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $4.07, about 12.5% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (64.2K contracts) was 0.7x its average, quieter than usual. A beta of 3.85 means ASTS has tended to move about 3.9 times as much as the broad market. 5 of our preset screens found trades on ASTS at the close, led by Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names with 40 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 20267 days | 105.9% | ±$4.78 (14.7%) | $27.82 to $37.38 | $3.81 |
| Dec 11, 202628 days | 99.7% | ±$9.00 (27.6%) | $23.60 to $41.60 | $7.20 |
| Jan 15, 202763 days | 96.3% | ±$13.04 (40.0%) | $19.56 to $45.64 | $10.23 |
| Feb 19, 202798 days | 96.1% | ±$16.23 (49.8%) | $16.37 to $48.83 | $13.30 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for ASTS from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
40 trades pass on ASTS
21 trades pass on ASTS
7 trades pass on ASTS
1 trade passes on ASTS
1 trade passes on ASTS
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.