Bear Call Spreads on Overbought Stocks
Bear Call Spread38 trades pass on CMCSA
- Return on risk
- 1.0% to 51.5%
- Probability of profit
- 66.3% to 87.9%
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CMCSA last closed at $25.16 with 30-day implied volatility of 31.1%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 37), so premiums are on the modest side for CMCSA. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 36% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Dec 11 (28 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $2.15, or 8.6%.
The price is above its 50-day moving average (+9.0%) but still below its 200-day (-3.0%). It is 22.5% below its 52-week high and 21.8% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 66.2 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $0.73, about 2.9% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (11.5K contracts) was 0.5x its average, much quieter than usual. A negative beta of -0.01 means CMCSA has tended to move against the broad market. 5 of our preset screens found trades on CMCSA at the close, led by Bear Call Spreads on Overbought Stocks with 38 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 20267 days | 33.2% | ±$1.16 (4.6%) | $24.00 to $26.32 | $0.93 |
| Dec 11, 202628 days | 30.9% | ±$2.15 (8.6%) | $23.01 to $27.31 | $1.72 |
| Jan 15, 202763 days | 31.0% | ±$3.24 (12.9%) | $21.92 to $28.40 | $2.58 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for CMCSA from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
38 trades pass on CMCSA
19 trades pass on CMCSA
14 trades pass on CMCSA
5 trades pass on CMCSA
4 trades pass on CMCSA
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.