Bear Put Spreads Below the 200-Day
Bear Put Spread19 trades pass on NLY
- Return on risk
- 44.9% to 541.0%
- Probability of profit
- 32.4% to 64.8%
Annaly Capital Management Inc · Real Estate
As of the close on . In the app, data is refreshed intraday.
NLY closed at $18.50 on Oct 2, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 29.6%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 46), so premiums are on the modest side for NLY. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 93% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Oct 30 (28 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $1.54, or 8.3%.
The price is below both its 50-day (-16.7%) and 200-day (-17.5%) moving averages. It is trading within 0.0% of its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 13.2 is under 30, a level often described as oversold. The 14-day average true range is $0.48, about 2.6% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (7.98K contracts) was 0.7x its average, quieter than usual. A beta of 0.60 means NLY has tended to move about 0.6 times as much as the broad market. 3 of our preset screens found trades on NLY at the close, led by Bear Put Spreads Below the 200-Day with 19 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 20267 days | 26.4% | ±$0.68 (3.7%) | $17.82 to $19.18 | $0.54 |
| Oct 30, 202628 days | 30.0% | ±$1.54 (8.3%) | $16.96 to $20.04 | $1.23 |
| Nov 20, 202649 days | 30.0% | ±$2.04 (11.0%) | $16.46 to $20.54 | $1.67 |
| Dec 18, 202677 days | 26.8% | ±$2.27 (12.3%) | $16.23 to $20.77 | $1.86 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for NLY from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
19 trades pass on NLY
2 trades pass on NLY
2 trades pass on NLY
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.