Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names
Bull Call Spread10 trades pass on NVAX
- Return on risk
- 150.0% to 1,000%+
- Probability of profit
- 26.9% to 47.2%
Novavax Inc · Healthcare
As of the close on . In the app, data is refreshed intraday.
NVAX closed at $12.66 on Oct 12, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 94.1%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 31), so premiums are on the modest side for NVAX. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 80% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Nov 13 (32 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $3.34, or 26.4%.
The price is above both its 50-day (+32.3%) and 200-day (+40.3%) moving averages. It is trading within 0.7% of its 52-week high. The 14-day RSI of 67.0 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $0.92, about 7.3% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (14K contracts) was 0.9x its average, close to normal. A beta of 1.85 means NVAX has tended to move about 1.9 times as much as the broad market. 4 of our preset screens found trades on NVAX at the close, led by Bull Call Spreads on High-Beta Names with 10 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 20264 days | 97.8% | ±$1.30 (10.2%) | $11.36 to $13.96 | $1.03 |
| Nov 13, 202632 days | 89.1% | ±$3.34 (26.4%) | $9.32 to $16.00 | $2.64 |
| Nov 27, 202646 days | 83.9% | ±$3.77 (29.8%) | $8.89 to $16.43 | $2.97 |
| Jan 15, 202795 days | 78.3% | ±$5.05 (39.9%) | $7.61 to $17.71 | $3.97 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for NVAX from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
10 trades pass on NVAX
7 trades pass on NVAX
4 trades pass on NVAX
3 trades pass on NVAX
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.