Long Call Butterflies for Pinning
Call Butterfly10 trades pass on PYPL
- Return on risk
- 92.3% to 433.3%
- Probability of profit
- 13.7% to 100.0%
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
As of the close on . In the app, data is refreshed intraday.
PYPL closed at $54.28 on Sep 28, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 44.3%. That is in the upper half of its one-year range (IV rank 55), so premiums are somewhat richer than usual for PYPL. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 66% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Oct 30 (32 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $7.30, or 13.5%.
The price is above its 200-day moving average (+7.7%) but below its 50-day (-4.3%), a pullback inside a longer uptrend. It is 28.7% below its 52-week high and 38.9% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 48.9 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $1.73, about 3.2% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (31K contracts) was 0.5x its average, quieter than usual. A beta of 1.13 means PYPL has tended to move about 1.1 times as much as the broad market. 2 of our preset screens found trades on PYPL at the close, led by Long Call Butterflies for Pinning with 10 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 20264 days | 42.8% | ±$2.43 (4.5%) | $51.85 to $56.71 | $1.95 |
| Oct 30, 202632 days | 45.4% | ±$7.30 (13.5%) | $46.98 to $61.58 | $5.81 |
| Nov 20, 202653 days | 41.5% | ±$8.59 (15.8%) | $45.69 to $62.87 | $6.88 |
| Dec 18, 202681 days | 39.9% | ±$10.21 (18.8%) | $44.07 to $64.49 | $8.15 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for PYPL from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
10 trades pass on PYPL
1 trade passes on PYPL
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.