Married Put Protection
Married Put109 trades pass on SPY
- Probability of profit
- 37.1% to 48.0%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · ETFETF
As of the close on . In the app, data is refreshed intraday.
SPY closed at $765.61 on Sep 28, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 13.4%. That is near the bottom of its one-year range (IV rank 15), so options on SPY are cheap compared with its own recent history. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 30% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Oct 30 (32 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $30.72, or 4.0%.
The price is above both its 50-day (+0.5%) and 200-day (+6.5%) moving averages. It is trading within 1.6% of its 52-week high. The 14-day RSI of 50.5 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $6.71, about 0.9% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (8.69M contracts) was 1.3x its average, close to normal. A beta of 1.00 means SPY has tended to move about 1.0 times as much as the broad market. 3 of our preset screens found trades on SPY at the close, led by Married Put Protection with 109 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 20262 days | 13.3% | ±$7.55 (1.0%) | $758.06 to $773.16 | $6.03 |
| Oct 30, 202632 days | 13.6% | ±$30.72 (4.0%) | $734.89 to $796.33 | $24.56 |
| Nov 30, 202663 days | 13.9% | ±$44.27 (5.8%) | $721.34 to $809.88 | $35.47 |
| Dec 31, 202694 days | 14.4% | ±$55.78 (7.3%) | $709.83 to $821.39 | $44.77 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for SPY from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
109 trades pass on SPY
86 trades pass on SPY
5 trades pass on SPY
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.