Bear Put Spreads Below the 200-Day
Bear Put Spread39 trades pass on VXX
- Return on risk
- 30.7% to 226.5%
- Probability of profit
- 35.7% to 59.8%
Barclays Bank plc · ETFETF
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VXX last closed at $18.73 with 30-day implied volatility of 76.2%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 32), so premiums are on the modest side for VXX. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 78% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Dec 11 (28 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $3.89, or 20.8%.
The price is above its 50-day moving average (+4.0%) but still below its 200-day (-22.6%). It is 52.6% below its 52-week high and 12.3% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 50.9 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $1.33, about 7.1% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (87.8K contracts) was 1.4x its average, busier than usual. A negative beta of -3.80 means VXX has tended to move against the broad market. 3 of our preset screens found trades on VXX at the close, led by Bear Put Spreads Below the 200-Day with 39 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 20267 days | 78.0% | ±$2.02 (10.8%) | $16.71 to $20.75 | $1.62 |
| Dec 11, 202628 days | 74.9% | ±$3.89 (20.8%) | $14.84 to $22.62 | $3.08 |
| Jan 15, 202763 days | 79.2% | ±$6.16 (32.9%) | $12.57 to $24.89 | $4.91 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for VXX from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
39 trades pass on VXX
6 trades pass on VXX
4 trades pass on VXX
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.