Married Put Protection
Married Put11 trades pass on XLE
- Probability of profit
- 35.9% to 45.3%
ETFETF
In the app, stock prices are live and options data is refreshed intraday.
XLE last closed at $64.96 with 30-day implied volatility of 24.7%. That is near the bottom of its one-year range (IV rank 25), so options on XLE are cheap compared with its own recent history. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 32% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Dec 11 (28 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $4.46, or 6.9%.
The price is above both its 50-day (+0.0%) and 200-day (+9.2%) moving averages. It is 7.2% below its 52-week high and 48.3% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 49.5 is between 30 and 70, neither overbought nor oversold. The 14-day average true range is $1.58, about 2.4% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (102K contracts) was 0.6x its average, quieter than usual. A negative beta of -0.34 means XLE has tended to move against the broad market. 3 of our preset screens found trades on XLE at the close, led by Married Put Protection with 11 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 20263 days | 15.7% | ±$0.93 (1.4%) | $64.03 to $65.89 | $0.74 |
| Dec 11, 202628 days | 24.8% | ±$4.46 (6.9%) | $60.50 to $69.42 | $3.56 |
| Jan 15, 202763 days | 24.3% | ±$6.55 (10.1%) | $58.41 to $71.51 | $5.22 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for XLE from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
11 trades pass on XLE
10 trades pass on XLE
1 trade passes on XLE
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.