Long Call Butterflies for Pinning
Call Butterfly32 trades pass on XLF
- Return on risk
- 52.7% to 1,000%+
- Probability of profit
- 10.3% to 100.0%
ETFETF
As of the close on . In the app, data is refreshed intraday.
XLF closed at $54.19 on Sep 28, 2026 with 30-day implied volatility of 18.3%. That is in the lower half of its one-year range (IV rank 34), so premiums are on the modest side for XLF. Measured by IV percentile, IV is higher than 71% of the past year's readings. Options expiring Oct 30 (32 days out) price a one standard deviation move of about $2.95, or 5.5%.
The price is above its 200-day moving average (+0.9%) but below its 50-day (-4.9%), a pullback inside a longer uptrend. It is 7.4% below its 52-week high and 13.3% above its 52-week low. The 14-day RSI of 28.6 is under 30, a level often described as oversold. The 14-day average true range is $0.72, about 1.3% of the price, a measure of a typical day's range.
Option volume at the close (265K contracts) was 1.6x its average, busier than usual. A beta of 0.61 means XLF has tended to move about 0.6 times as much as the broad market. 3 of our preset screens found trades on XLF at the close, led by Long Call Butterflies for Pinning with 32 trades.
Expected move = price x at-the-money IV x the square root of (days to expiration / 365), a one standard deviation range. The straddle is the at-the-money call plus put, the market's own price for a move. Compare expected moves across stocks.
| Expiration | IV | Expected move | 1 SD range | Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 20262 days | 20.5% | ±$0.82 (1.5%) | $53.37 to $55.01 | $0.68 |
| Oct 30, 202632 days | 18.4% | ±$2.95 (5.5%) | $51.24 to $57.14 | $2.37 |
| Nov 20, 202653 days | 16.8% | ±$3.48 (6.4%) | $50.71 to $57.67 | $2.80 |
| Dec 31, 202694 days | 21.8% | ±$5.99 (11.1%) | $48.20 to $60.18 | $4.79 |
Each expiration has its own implied volatility, and short-dated IV reacts more to near-term events, so the nearest expiration can differ a lot from the 30-day figure.
Counts and ranges for XLF from our preset scans at the last close. Open a preset in the app to see each trade with its strikes, prices, and risk, refreshed intraday. Income strategies show annualized return; the rest show return on risk.
32 trades pass on XLF
10 trades pass on XLF
1 trade passes on XLF
Market data as of the prior close, for information and education only. Not investment advice. Options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. See our Terms of Service.